Captain Conan was a big drifter in the betting market for the Grade 1 Tolworth Hurdle at Sandown on Saturday, but went on to win at 9-1 ...just. Jockey Barry Geraghty managed to get him across the line just ahead of Colour Squadron (my choice for the race, and advised to members of the Horse Racing Trends service), who gave away valuable distance by hanging badly most of the way up the finishing straight.
Trends analysis shows that of the last 12 winners of this race, 11 were sent off at odds of 5/1 or less. So this result was a genuine surprise.
Captain Conan has now put himself in contention for the Supreme Novices Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival in March.
William Hill make Captain Conan just 10-1 for the Supreme Novices', buthe is as big as 16-1 with Totesport and Betfred.
Read the full race report at the Racing Post
For comprehensive trends analysis on all the Graded National Hunt races each week through the season visit Horse Racing Trends
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