Top 10 Secrets To Backing Two Year Old Winners

Tip #1 Remember it is always more difficult for a two-year-old to win on its debut and especially against experienced opposition. If you bet, then it is advisable to compete against youngsters making their racecourse bows.

Read the next nine tips at High Class Equine

Be careful of juveniles with a string of placed efforts because they often struggle to win and at some point are likely to regress and lose at a short price.

Specialisation (in this case 2yos and juveniles) is discussed in more detail in this article at SkyBlueKangaroo

Top 10 Secrets To Backing Two Year Old Winners

Tip #1 Remember it is always more difficult for a two-year-old to win on its debut and especially against experienced opposition. If you bet, then it is advisable to compete against youngsters making their racecourse bows.

Read the next nine tips at High Class Equine

Be careful of juveniles with a string of placed efforts because they often struggle to win and at some point are likely to regress and lose at a short price.

Specialisation (in this case 2yos and juveniles) is discussed in more detail in this article at SkyBlueKangaroo

Start With The Contenders

It’s common practice for punters to start their racing analysis about half way through the process. This is because it has become generally accepted that to make a profit at horse racing you need to find… the winner!

Don’t worry, I’m not going to argue that you don’t need to find the winner of the race (although that does depend to an extent on your bet type) but what I want to show you right now, is that by doing this you are making it much harder to make a profit.

Read the full story at RaceAdvisor

Just psychologically this stage is very necessary because it is easier to do and the success boosts moral and gives confidence to continue.

There’s several articles on betting psychology at my horse racing blog SkyBlueKangaroo

Are Drifters Just Losers Waiting To Happen

…or are they opportunities to win big?

A few days back Lady Malet struck me as a good value bet at Southwell. I thought the 2/1 early price was generous. The horse eventually went off at 4/1 but could only beat two others home.

So, was the market telling us Lady Malet couldn’t win, or should I have been lumping more on as the ‘value’ increased?

Read the full story at OLBG

A lot of punters make many decisions based on market movements in horse racing, a drift is enough to put some people off backing a runner whilst contracting odds are sometimes deemed enough of a positive to make someone back the horse at that shorter price. But when should we take notice and are their opportunities to make good money out of market drifts?

Read more about odds and probability at SkyBlueKangaroo

Avoid Expert Nonsense

When I first started to develop a passion for betting horses, back in 1995, I was following a tipster service called Isiris. At first I was doing OK and keeping my nose well in front.

However, there came the inevitable losing run, and combined with the ongoing costs of subscribing, following Isiris found me haemorrhaging money.

I had a light bulb moment in a charity shop when I stumbled upon a book called Picking Winners by Andrew Beyer. Having read that book I realised it was important to have my own opinion on a race, and I should not be following any one expert blindly.

Tony Keenan has penned an insightful article over at GeeGeez as part of the Punting Confessional series. He talks about applying your own thoughts to everything you read. Well worth a read.

View the full story at GeeGeez

Believe nothing, no matter where you read it or who has said it, not even if I have said it, unless it agrees with your own reason and your own common sense.

Read more on creating your own betting systems

The Scourge of Fixed Odds Betting Terminals

This is gambling on crack cocaine, and the consequences can be just as destructive.

Rochdale is home to the most deprived estate in the country, with four out of five children growing up in poverty. But such hardship did not stop residents of the Lancashire former mill town from gambling £72million on high stakes betting machines last year, chasing jackpots of up to £500. The total, the equivalent of £340 for every man, woman and child in the town, will fuel the claim that casino-style fixed odd betting terminals (FOBTs), described as the ‘crack cocaine’ of gambling, risk causing serious addiction among the poor.

Read the full story at Mail Online

For smart strategies to make your betting pay visit the blog at SkyBlueKangaroo

Gaining an Edge Over the Bookie

This is a prickly subject.

If the bookmaker’s odds are unfair, how can a punter ever win? Given the disadvantage the overround imposes, it is no surprise that as many as 95% of gamblers fail to win at fixed odds sports betting over the long term. There is no denying that most bookmakers, particularly the well-established firms, are very good at setting prices, estimating the true chance of sporting results and locking in a profit margin.

Read the full story at HighClassEquine

More stories on value betting